Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000640 0.000726 0.000817 0.000921 0.001035 0.001156 0.001294
2025-12-21 0.000493 0.000610 0.000743 0.000903 0.001089 0.001299 0.001551
2025-12-28 0.000433 0.000568 0.000727 0.000926 0.001167 0.001447 0.001796
2026-01-04 0.000383 0.000529 0.000707 0.000939 0.001228 0.001574 0.002016
2026-01-11 0.000335 0.000485 0.000676 0.000931 0.001260 0.001662 0.002186
2026-01-18 0.000295 0.000448 0.000647 0.000923 0.001285 0.001740 0.002346
2026-01-25 0.000268 0.000424 0.000634 0.000931 0.001331 0.001843 0.002536
2026-02-01 0.000243 0.000399 0.000617 0.000932 0.001366 0.001931 0.002708
2026-02-08 0.000212 0.000363 0.000581 0.000904 0.001359 0.001963 0.002806
2026-02-15 0.000187 0.000334 0.000551 0.000882 0.001358 0.002000 0.002911
2026-02-22 0.000169 0.000314 0.000534 0.000877 0.001379 0.002066 0.003055
2026-03-01 0.000154 0.000297 0.000521 0.000875 0.001404 0.002138 0.003207
2026-03-08 0.000138 0.000278 0.000501 0.000864 0.001415 0.002192 0.003338
2026-03-15 0.000123 0.000258 0.000480 0.000849 0.001420 0.002236 0.003456
2026-03-22 0.000117 0.000253 0.000483 0.000871 0.001479 0.002359 0.003687
2026-03-29 0.000110 0.000246 0.000480 0.000883 0.001524 0.002463 0.003892
2026-04-05 0.000100 0.000232 0.000466 0.000876 0.001539 0.002522 0.004034
2026-04-12 0.000090 0.000219 0.000451 0.000868 0.001551 0.002576 0.004170
2026-04-19 0.000084 0.000211 0.000447 0.000876 0.001588 0.002669 0.004364
2026-04-26 0.000078 0.000202 0.000439 0.000877 0.001614 0.002745 0.004534
2026-05-03 0.000069 0.000186 0.000416 0.000850 0.001595 0.002751 0.004599
2026-05-10 0.000061 0.000172 0.000396 0.000829 0.001583 0.002767 0.004679
2026-05-17 0.000055 0.000164 0.000386 0.000824 0.001597 0.002824 0.004822